Shaken, not Stirred: Dairy Markets and Policy

2-3 May 2017, San Diego, California


This is the 24th Annual National Workshop for Dairy Economists and Policy Analysts. We will be meeting at the Renaissance Hotel in San Diego. You can reserve lodging in our room block using the "Hotel" button above through April 20th at our negotiated rate of $199 per night. You can also call the hotel directly and tell them that you are with the "Dairy" group. The registration fee for the program itself is $380. Please "Register" for the workshop through the button above no later than April 28th.

The general format for the Workshop will be a one and a half day event much as we have done in the past; however, we have decided to begin at noon on the first day – Tuesday. It is our hope that this will facilitate travel for people coming from eastern time zones and allow most if not all of us to leave our home airports that morning. Insofar as flights back east tend to be quite early or very late, this may mean a Red Eye or staying Wednesday night for those of us in the Eastern Time Zone, in particular.

The theme for this year's program is 'Shaken, not Stirred' reflecting discussions in Washington that would impact the dairy sector. Much policy seems unsettled with the new Administration and Congress. We will consider implications from potential changes in dairy trade negotiations. 2018 would also be the year for a new Farm Bill and the House has already convened its first hearings on the subject. And of course, with discussions of a different course for environmental regulations, we wonder about what this could mean for a resilient dairy industry.

Please note that we are not planning a tour this year. We think San Diego will be a very agreeable location for the meeting, but it is not so convenient for a tour of California's dairy industry. We expect to resume the optional tour next year.

Slides Tuesday, May 2, 2017
11:30 Registration Open
12:00 Lunch—On your own
1:00 Welcome and Introduction—Andrew Novakovic, Cornell University
1:05 Session I: The Future of Dairy Trade and Trade Agreements—Andrew Novakovic, Cornell University
  • Dairy Trade: What Are the Underlying Opportunities for North American Dairy Trade — Andrew Novakovic, Cornell University
  • N/A
  • Dairy Trade: Opportunities and Challenges for Trade with Canada —Jodi Smith, Upstate-Niagara
  • 3:00 Break
  • Dairy Trade: Keys to Success for Developing Dairy Markets, with Special Attention to Mexico —Ted Jacoby III, T.C. Jacoby and Company
  • What Does Dairy Trade Modeling Tell Us?—Chuck Nicholson, Penn State University
  • 5:15 Adjourn
    5:30 Reception and Hosted Bar
    Wednesday, May 3, 2017
    7:00 Breakfast—provided
    8:00 Introduction—Mark Stephenson, University of Wisconsin
    8:05 Session II: Are There Holes in the Safety Net?—Marin Bozic, University of Minnesota
  • Safety Net or Tangled Web? The State of Dairy Risk Management in the US—Marin Bozic, University of Minnesota
  • N/A
  • Fixing MPP and the Political Calculus of the Farm Bill—Paul Bleiberg, National Milk Producers Federation
  • 9:45 Break
  • "Crop Insurance" for Milk? Proposed Dairy Revenue Protection Policy—John Newton, American Farm Bureau
  • What Can the Private Sector Provide?—Tiffany LaMendola, Blimling and Associates
  • Do We Need a Safety Net at All?—Dan Sumner, University of California, Davis
  • 12:00 Lunch—provided
    1:15 Session III: Stress Testing the US Milk Production Sector—Mark Stephenson, University of Wisconsin
  • What do Farms Show Us?—Chris Wolf, Michigan State University
  • Changing Patterns and an Economic Fragility of Milk Production—Mark Stephenson, University of Wisconsin
  • 3:00 Break
  • Is Maximum Milk Yield per Cow a Sensible Goal?—Kent Weigel, University of Wisconsin
  • Permitting and Environmental Constraints to Milk Production—Ermias Kebreab, University of California, Davis
  • 5:00 Closing Comments and Adjourn